Hans Diels regularly gives keynotes on the major geopolitical trends and how they impact business and society.

Turbulence: a geo-economic outlook to 2035

After the relative stability of the Cold War and the globalizing 90s, the new millennium is marked by its increased geopolitical turbulence. Challenges to the liberal international order arise internally and externally. Russia, China and Iran are challenging the West. Internally resistance is mounted by populist radical movements. The rise of nationalism combines with increased international competition to make international conflict more prevalent. At the same time, we see that many conflicts are waged through economic statecraft, using financial sanctions, import- and export embargoes and cyber attacks, in this way increasing the impact of businesses all over the world.

In this geo-economic outlook, we look to the big trends in international relations, how uncertainty will increase in the coming years, why economic statecraft becomes more important and what its impact is on Western business.

Political fundamentals of Emerging Markets

Emerging markets harbour enormous opportunities. The majority of global growth will occur in developing countries in the coming decades. These markets offer tremendous opportunities for those firms that are able to manage the political risks that coincide with these opportunities. In these markets, political fundamentals matter more than pure economic fundamentals.

In this keynote, we zoom in on the opportunities that upcoming markets generate and learn how to interpret the political fundamentals of these countries.